{"id":1455,"date":"2020-03-21T18:36:49","date_gmt":"2020-03-21T17:36:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ics.science.upjs.sk\/adui\/?p=1455"},"modified":"2023-01-04T18:37:09","modified_gmt":"2023-01-04T17:37:09","slug":"prediction-of-epidemic-progress-based-on-data-and-mathematics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ics.science.upjs.sk\/adui\/en\/2020\/03\/21\/prediction-of-epidemic-progress-based-on-data-and-mathematics\/","title":{"rendered":"Prediction of epidemic progress based on data and mathematics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>For the decision-making of task force, which take key decisions necessary to manage epidemics and pandemics, it is very important to know not only the current situation, but also <strong>to have available forecasts of the development of the situation<\/strong> in various scenarios. <strong>Modeling of the spread of infectious diseases<\/strong> is currently a very hot topic.<\/p>\n<p>Various types of theoretically justified mathematical models, which have been experimentally verified in the past, are used to predict the development of the epidemic. Some of them are also studied at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.upjs.sk\/prirodovedecka-fakulta\/ustav\/umv\/24971\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the Institute of Mathematics<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/ics.science.upjs.sk\/en\/institute-of-computer-science\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the Institute of Informatics<\/a> of the UPJ\u0160 Faculty of Science. <strong>A simple example of a current pandemic development model<\/strong> that can be used to roughly estimate the prediction is at: <a href=\"https:\/\/kiselak.shinyapps.io\/corona\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/kiselak.shinyapps.io\/corona\/<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>More at: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.upjs.sk\/aktualne-spravy\/22886\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.upjs.sk\/aktualne-spravy\/22886\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For the decision-making of task force, which take key decisions necessary to manage epidemics and pandemics, it is very important to know not only the current situation, but also to&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":1457,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1455","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actual"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ics.science.upjs.sk\/adui\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1455","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ics.science.upjs.sk\/adui\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ics.science.upjs.sk\/adui\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ics.science.upjs.sk\/adui\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/21"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ics.science.upjs.sk\/adui\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1455"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/ics.science.upjs.sk\/adui\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1455\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1580,"href":"https:\/\/ics.science.upjs.sk\/adui\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1455\/revisions\/1580"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ics.science.upjs.sk\/adui\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1457"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ics.science.upjs.sk\/adui\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1455"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ics.science.upjs.sk\/adui\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1455"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ics.science.upjs.sk\/adui\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1455"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}